Large Numbers in Wiki and Bar Bills in Abkhazia

This is fun.

While some of my friends from around the world were mugging it up on Facebook about Greek debt, monetary vs. fiscal US policy, Italian bonds, Euros and other economic news of current interest, I was hiding in another part of the Internet researching large numbers and the future of privacy.

I don’t know who among the Johns et al are right in that discussion, but at some point we are going to have to acknowledge that there are some clear options to acknowledge may happen based in our soon to be economic history.

From Wiki on “Large Numbers”:

“Some names of large numbers, such as million, billion, and trillion, have real referents in human experience, and are encountered in many contexts. At times, the names of large numbers have been forced into common usage as a result of excessive inflation.

“The highest numerical value banknote ever printed was a note for 1 sextillion pengő (1021 or 1 milliard bilpengő as printed) printed in Hungary in 1946. In 2009, Zimbabwe printed a 100 trillion (1014) Zimbabwean dollar note, which at the time of printing was only worth about US$30.[11]. 

Sweeping inflation bills after the introduction of the forint (August 1946)

Sweeping inflation bills after the introduction of the forint (August 1946) Source: Wikipedia

How did Hungary get out of the Pengő in 1946?  Simple. They introduced the florinc and set a generous official conversion rate.  I would attempt to describe it, but the numbers are simply boggling.  Here is how the scholars at Wiki describe it.

“End of the pengő

The Hungarian economy could only be stabilized by the introduction of a new currency, and therefore, on 1 August 1946, the forint was reintroduced at a rate of 400 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 (400 octillion) = 4×1029 pengő, therefore the total amount of circulating pengő notes had a value of less than 0.1 fillér. The exchange rate to adópengő was set at 200 000 000 = 2×108 (hence the 2×1021 ratio, mentioned above).[4] The exchange rate for the US dollar was set at 11.74 forints.”

In 2008 I had the privilege of being a guest at the UN observation mess (bar) in Sukumi, Abkhazia (Georgia).  I sat for 4 hours or so sharing drinks with members of UNOMIG about 3 weeks before the 2008 Georgian-Russian war erupted all around them.  Each was from a different country.   One of the soldiers I really enjoyed chatting with was from Zimbabwe.

We shared drinks for 4 hours.  If I establish the Zimbabwe rate of  inflation in late 2008 and apply it to his bar bill, I am going to come up with a rather interesting number.  If he had bought all of his drinks and my drinks and paid in advance, would the inflation have saved him enough money to cover my drinks?    I would bet that it would be worth prepaying and I’ll do some math later to figure it out.

I may not be an economist, but I play one on the bar stool.

But it didn’t work that way for my Zimbabwe friend.   There is no cash at the bar, which meant that as a guest, I could never reciprocate with cash from my pocket.   Each member’s bill is offered and paid after the end of the month.

This could severely affect my friend’s lifestyle.  He bought a $5 drink in the middle of July in USD and paid the bill a month later in Zimbabwe dollars.   I’m going to do the math on that one as well.  How much did he pay in ‘late charges’ rather than being allowed to pay cash up front?

These two history lesson make me wonder why nobody is wondering how a possible  hyperinflation in Greece will affect the price of a tea in Rotterdam when both are using the same Euro.

Buddy can you lend a pengő?

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Dr. Suzuki and Dad Weigh In on Mortality 1

Class and Mortality

A lot of things come together when someone says no to something you are passionate about.  This made me feel great, although it was a bit of tough train of thought and the kindness of a stranger that helped me help me pull it all together.

It could have been a bad experience.  I had sent Dr. David Suzuki an invitation to join a film project of mine, ‘humbly Seeking Sochi’ for the episode on Agios Efstratios, a tiny Greek Island of about 400 people that has managed to become pretty well self-sustaining by investing in solar, wind, and energy conservation methods.

Instead, Dr. Suzuki said,

“Needless to say, I am honoured to receive your request.  I’m afraid though that at my age, the idea of being involved in a filming project is not what I am interested in, exotic though the location will be.  I would suggest that you might consider either of my daughters, Severn and Sarika, who have both been involved with me on the Nature of Things and are infinitely more photogenic. 

“Thanks for asking me. 

David Suzuki”

The idea that one of my heroes might decline because of his age startled me.  I read it as an honest admission to me, a stranger, but it got me remembering a couple of points in my life that reminded me of my advance on mortality.

The greatest of stories are told in the smallest of moments and there are no great shipwrecks (although I’ve survived one) or no great wars (it missed me by a couple of weeks) in the great revelation Suzuki reminded me of.

I was about forty when I moved into a high-rise apartment.  I unpacked, set up the answering machine, and promptly left for a week.  When I came back, I punched the button on the answering machine.

There were no messages, and it played my welcome greeting, “Hi I’m not here right now…”

My blood ran cold.  How did my father’s voice get on that machine?  Did he call in and in a technologically challenged moment succeed in hacking the machine and getting into the welcome message?  I wanted to call him and ask, or accuse, or ask in such a way that I could accuse him if he couldn’t come up with the right words.

I played it again.  I played it again.

The next day I played it again and then did something wise.  I forgot about calling my father with wild accusations.  I recorded over the welcome message.

Then I played it.  My first thought was that the ‘damned clever fellow’ had done it again.

In a blinding flash of the obvious, I realized that I was becoming my father.  Indeed, I already had become.  My voice was his voice when played back.

In the early days of planning the ‘humbly Seeks Sochi’ trip, I was chatting with my dad.

I’m sure that it was a rambling enthusiasm of unorganized thoughts, probably the second best time of the project other than actually sailing from Athens to Sochi.   There were no realities at the time.  I didn’t know I would be against three knot currents through the Dardanelles, or that I would have such a problem in planning Odessa until my Moscow friend said something totally innocuous that would become the Odessa theme, or that the whole project would involve such detailed logistics and planning.  Dreams are wonderful!

I said to him, “Dad, why don’t you join us for a week’s sailing somewhere.  We’ll work it out somehow and I’d love to share this with you. “

I wasn’t prepared for his answer, “Son, in two years, I’ll be 80 and I’m not sure I’ll be up to it. “

Suzuki, Dad, Icewine, Icewinetales, Mortality

Dad and the dogz in the hood

My father lives on a steep hillside on Salt Spring Island, British Columbia.  In an astounding metaphor for life, he spends many of his days building retaining walls and plotting ways to defy what gravity schemes to bring down the hill.  He is in far better shape than I am and he is usually more successful at defying the gravity immediately around him than I feel I have been.

His cold logic disturbed me.  There is no changing it.  He has counted the years, ignored the numbers and learned to enjoy his Sisyphean task.  I am left disturbed but envious.

I told the first story to an acquaintance and after I had finished, he looked into his soup and said quietly “And I looked down and saw my father’s hands… “    I confess that it took me a little while to understand it and then I was humbled.

I cannot work on a keyboard without that phrase pleasantly nagging me as I hunt and peck and watch the back of my hands.   I am doing different things than my father did, but my hands and the voice I hear recorded have become a sincere reminder of where I have been and where I am going.

 

 

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Icewine Tasting at the United Nations Part 1

Max is taking me for a tour of the main Sukhumi waterfront.  For me this means a stroll along a closed road with a tropical park on the one side and a curious collection of buildings on the other.

The Former Casino  on Sukhumi's waterfront

The Former Casino on Sukhumi's waterfront

The buildings go from the fresh and shiny Ritsa hotel to the burned out shell of the Hotel Abkhazia which stands in glorious ruins as a reminder of the bloody 1992 war that gave the Abkhazians freedom from Georgia on one hand and the armed peace that created this gilded cage which trapped the Abkhazians in and the rest of the world out.

It is ironic that the Hotel Akbhazia is a ruinous symbol of the war but I was told it actually burned down a couple of years before the war.

There are a few restaurants in the few blocks that we stroll.  I get the impression that a strange face here would be noticed among the locals pretty quickly.  Elderly men play chess and backgammon near the large blue pavilion where I had gotten a superb cup of coffee earlier in the day.

The shadows of the palm trees grow longer over the road and reach towards the buildings.  Out on the water, the massive piers that just into the Black Sea begin to turn orange.  One has small black figures moving about the restaurant perched over Sukhumi Bay.  The other is deserted except for a lone fisherman hopefully perched like a shadow puppet over his potential dinner.

As we pass an outdoor patio, Max stops to talk to two people who were clearly from the outside world.  After weeks of being submerged in

Hotel Akbhazia

Hotel Akbhazia

Russian language that was just now becoming a melodic sound, it was a plunge in cold water to hear Teddy’s friendly booming Irish lilt, and his friend, when he made a less garrulous introduction, spoke in a Macedonian accent.  Something is up!

Max introduced us.  Teddy and his friend were part of the United Nations Observer Mission in Georgia (UNOMIG) whose mission as unarmed observers was to represent the United Nations in maintaining the peace between Georgia and Abkhazia.  They were a part of a multinational team that took long walks in the woods which had once been described as one of the most heavily mined area in the world looking for signs of aggression.   This was Teddy’s realm, hospitality.  In the Caucasus, one of the most hospitable bunches of people in the world, the Irishman was able to come out large and more hospitable.  I was no longer in Abkhazia when I accepted his invitation to sit down at the table.  I was now in Teddy’s world.

For the next couple of hours, we talked all over the world, and I got to eat some amazing cheeses, fabulous fish, and some passable wines that were made superb by the company, the conversation, and the setting sun in this gilded cage called Abkhazia.

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Russian Borders, Edita, and Lessons from India

The flight to Sochi was uneventful, other than I could speak English with nobody. The regional airline, S7 gave a clean flight, on time, and pleasantly.  The big difference to me was in the airline food.  Airline food is airline food everywhere.  It is mass produced and designed to be delivered to an audience that already knows that airline food is stuffer, not to be enjoyed, Any complaints about airline food bring two responses: “Join the long line”, or “what’s the use?”  However, in this part of the world, while still airline food, is a different collection of airline foods and I enjoyed the new flavours.  The fact that I couldn’t understand the labels helped immensely.

South towards AbkhaziaStill, arriving at the Sochi airport was a treat.  It was like arriving in Florida, with a blast of welcome humidity and warmth that let me know that this wasn’t Moscow any longer. The pace had slowed and the sheer size of every is more appropriate for a town of 400,000.

Sochi is important to the world for a number of reasons.

For decades it has been the Palm Beach of Russia, with expensive dachas lining the Black Sea Coast and fabulous resorts like Dagomeys.  Lenin had his favourite Dacha in Sochi as did many of Russia’s leaders.

More recently, Putin has placed about $11 billion in investment into Sochi to create a sun and ski tourism infrastructure.  Russian tourists were taking almost $2 billion each year out of Russia to go ski and vacation in Europe and Putin wanted to stop the flow of hard currency out of Russia by providing an alternative.

Putin also wanted to ensure that his legacy-to-be, the 2014 Winter Olympics, would be in Sochi.  When Sochi was awarded the Olympics, Russia began to pump another $11 billion into the area to bring the infrastructure up to Olympic standards.

Sochi is also 12 miles from the Abkhazian border. The last thing Russia needs is Georgian tanks 12 miles from their Olympic site, and there are many reasons why Abkhazia is what it is, but as a poor and fairly powerless state, Abkhazia provides a convenient 200 km buffer between Georgia and Russia and Russia likes this.

In May 2008 Georgian tanks were massed on Abkhazia’s southern border.  The United Nations observers (UNOMIG) are nice fellows who take long walks through the mine laden woods looking for such things.  They noticed the buildup and let their chain of command know.  French President Sarkozy made a trip to Moscow, then Tblisi, Georgia’s capital and diffused the situation with diplomacy for a short while.

The UN takes a bad rap for its public failures, so it was gratifying to see that circumstances often prevent the UN from receiving praise when they deserve it.

Georgia was also sending unarmed drones over Abkhazia and the Russian air force was knocking them down regularly.  These Israeli drones cost about $1 million each and probably were part of a garage sale of unused and soon to be obsolete equipment.

I had not met my friend Max until he picked me up at the airport in Sochi.  Maxim Gunjia is well described in one article a few years before as a “hip, 28 and into restaurants, art and jazz. He is also the deputy foreign minister of a country that no legitimate government recognizes…”  This, I thought was the antithesis of what to expect from old Soviet leadership but Max fits this perfectly.  He once rebuked me (for negotiating over a  small purchase) with, “That’s just not cool”, and I understood completely.

After a year and a half of chatting on the phone, and emails, it was good to meet him in person, but I was again distracted by all the sensory input of a strange land.  The road from Adler to the border winds along the Black Sea and Max dutifully alternates between pointing out landmarks and chatting in Russian to his friends who he had also picked up at the airport.

The quiet man driving dropped us off at the Psou border crossing and we walked our luggage into Abkhazia, through the customs and nobody seemed interested in checking my luggage.  I’m not sure how I would have explained the 19 bottles of Icewine hidden in the suitcase that were leftover from wine tastings and sales calls in Moscow.

The journey out of Abkhazia a week later was also a treat, and I’ll share  some stories during that week in future posts.

I left Abkhazia by taxi.  The taxi was arranged by friends, and the taxi driver was an affable chain smoker who spoke no English.  I could now speak about 20 Russian words and I’m sure that when I did, the Russian speakers wished I would not.  I asked in pantomime if I should do up my seatbelt and he motioned “no! no!”.

The main road along the coast is riddled with potholes but that isn’t a problem compared with the cows that meander along the 80 mile road north to Sochi.  Abkhazia has a tradition of free range cattle.   They are inured to traffic.  No amount of honking will move them.  Between herds of cows all drivers drive like madmen except when they come to potholes. Crossing potholes, the drivers are almost reverent.  I assume spare parts for the cars are expensive.

Timing and a single word is all that one needs to make a joke between two people who don’t speak a common language.  We hurtled around a corner and the driver braked suddenly and swerved skillfully.  I assume he did.  I was wishing for my seatbelt and the only thing I remember seeing was the ass ends of a lot of slowly moving cows.  They blocked the road.  The driver looked over at me and smiled, lit a cigarette and shrugged. “India” he said, and we both laughed.  Eventually they moved and we got to the border.

I had no ‘juice’ crossing this border.  The driver pantomimed that I should get out, take my luggage, and go through the customs line, and he would go though the fast lane and meet me on the other side.

I shuffled forward with the line until I got to the big glass window with the tiny little slit to pass my papers.

While I passed my papers, I examined the border guard.  I knew that Jan Arden was performing in Canada that week but this could have been her!   Under a green fore and aft cap set a round face with pretty eyes, a small attractive beauty mark on her cheek set off a pretty smile.  Her dark hair bobbed at the shoulders and just missed the massive epaulets on her shoulders.  Her light green uniform shirt was crisp and her skirt was knee length but short enough for me to see dark nylons and imagine uniform shoes that she could march 40 miles in.

While I was taking this in, she was opening my passport, comparing the picture to my face and looking me up on the computer.

There were five people in the booth and she was not talking with any of them as she started to sing in a quiet Russian language.  I didn’t know what to make of it and simply kept smiling.   She murmered her song and continued to look over the computer, my papers and occasionally looked at me.

Then her forehead furrowed.  I started to sweat under my smile.  She tapped on the computer and called a colleague over.  They conferred in Russian and tapped some more on the computer.

You have to understand that time is relative.  One persons time frame as a border guard in Southern Russia is far different than this traveler’s time frame as someone trying to cross a border in Southern Russia for the first time.

Some time later she looked up and said something in Russian to me and pushed both of her hands out towards me.

I didn’t understand.  It was my turn to furrow my brow without losing the smile.

She repeated the gesture and I used one of my Russian phrases.  It sounded something line “NiPanema” and it was supposed to mean “I don’t understand”.   Her colleague thrust her hands out and said in English “Show hands, show hands”

Her colleague pointed at my ring finger and said “Show hands” again.

Are they asking me where my wife is?  Did the computer say that I had entered Abkhazia with a wife and was leaving without one?  Did they think I was a lonely westerner looking for a Russian wife?   All this came to me in a nanosecond and I pointed at my ring finger, “Nye, no wife, no wife.”

Her colleague drew away and my Jann Arden sang briefly, then stamped my passport and put it down on her side of the glass.  I wasn’t clear yet!

I don’t speak Russian. She didn’t speak English.  However I know exactly what she said next. Her gestures towards my passport and me were very clear.  I was just standing there smiling and thinking “I don’t want to go to the little room in the back” when she said with a flourish, “You take me to Canada?!”

What could I do? I took one step back from the window and one step towards (ironically) freedom in Russia and said with a big gesture and a bigger smile, “Come On! Let’s Go!”  We now had the attention of everyone in the booth.

She smiled, opened my passport and wrote something inside.  She passed it to me.

I opened the passport.   Her name is Edita, and her cell phone number was written inside.

I knew just two words in Russian for the occasion.  In a loud voice and a bigger smile, I said to her, “Spaceba Padrushka” (“Thanks Girlfriend”) and went to find my taxi. Everyone in the customs both began laughing at our brief passion play.

The taxi driver made me put my seatbelt on for the final 12 miles from the Psou River to Sochi’s airport.

Later I learned that in Russia, if you don’t wear your seatbelt, the police will pull you over looking to find lunch money.

In Abkhazia, if you do wear your seatbelt, you are clearly a tourist, and the police will pull you over looking to find lunch money.

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